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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$9.26M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$108.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $52.80M volume · 3,903 trades · since Jan 27, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$108.1k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
88%
24 closed
Wallet age · markets
270d
22 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $328.4k | excluded |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $1.05M 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $3.93M 14.3× usual |
excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $69.6k | excluded |
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $220.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $2.40M 8.7× usual |
excluded |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $48.6k | excluded |
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ | $178.0k | excluded |
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