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What this means. A wallet put $3.93M on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$3.93M
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 3,943,099 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)14.3× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet FedWillWin took No (buy) for $3.93M at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $3.93M+3
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $3.93M
- Placed
- Apr 15, 05:35 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- FedWillWin
- Tx
- 0x7c8653ae…
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $1.05M 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $945.3k 20.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $952.3k 20.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $106.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $670.2k 16.1× usual |
excluded |