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What this means. A wallet put $23.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.9k
BUY No @ 99.6¢ · 24,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet chenyu9 took No (buy) for $23.9k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 99.6%
- Size
- $23.9k
- Placed
- Mar 23, 02:04 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- chenyu9
- Tx
- 0x1ac4e49d…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+4.5 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $1.05M 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $945.3k 20.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $952.3k 20.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $106.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $670.2k 16.1× usual |
excluded |