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What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.8k
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 13,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet K49032 took No (buy) for $12.8k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.8k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- Size
- $12.8k
- Placed
- Mar 14, 23:43 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- K49032
- Tx
- 0x366f6e9d…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $1.05M 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $945.3k 20.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $952.3k 20.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $106.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $670.2k 16.1× usual |
excluded |