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What this means. A wallet put $20.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.5k
BUY Yes @ 41¢ · 49,984 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet krazy031 took Yes (buy) for $20.5k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 41.0%
- Size
- $20.5k
- Placed
- Dec 08, 17:02 EST
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- krazy031
- Tx
- 0x626201dc…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-15.3 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $384.4k 8.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $113.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $397.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $944.3k 20.2× usual |
excluded |