Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $1.20M 11 flags |
none | none |
| Not Yes | $883.6k 11 flags |
$69.9k 1 wallet |
none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.1k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.9k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.7k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $69.9k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $760.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $225.3k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $55.3k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $99.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $59.9k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $242.5k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $11.7k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 22 whale trades on this market totalling $2.08M from 14 wallets. The largest was $760.0k (buy Yes at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($1.20M) went to Yes. 11 of 22 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, MoronKiler ($760.0k), has no graded flags yet.
Market data from Polymarket (israel-announces-lebanon-ceasefire-extension-by-june-7).