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What this means. A wallet put $100.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$100.7k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 100,798 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)3.6× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Car took Yes (sell) for $100.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $100.7k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $100.7k
- Placed
- Jun 07, 18:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Car
- Tx
- 0x88813a10…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-16.1 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.1k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.9k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $69.9k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.1k | excluded |