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What this means. A wallet put $55.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?excluded
$55.3k
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ · 55,431 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1h2.7× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet tetrase took Yes (sell) for $55.3k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $55.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$55.3k
Placed
Jun 05, 20:06 EDT
Market close
Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tetrase
Tx
0xd64cb822…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+20.7 pts
expected 5.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $55.3k WHALE $55.3K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $112.1k
5.5× usual
0% tetrase138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $112.9k
5.0× usual
0% Trustinghorse138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.7k
3.6× usual
0% Car138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $69.9k
3.8× usual
0% MisTKy PROVEN138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.9k100% zb8138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $10.0k100% Gleaming-Pear138d agoexcluded