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What this means. A wallet put $760.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?excluded
$760.0k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 760,797 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite3.6× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet MoronKiler took Yes (buy) for $760.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $760.0k+3
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$760.0k
Placed
Jun 06, 02:14 EDT
Market close
Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
MoronKiler
Tx
0x04fada74…

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $760.0k WHALE $760.0K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $112.1k
5.6× usual
0% tetrase138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $112.9k
5.0× usual
0% Trustinghorse138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.7k
3.6× usual
0% Car138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $69.9k
3.8× usual
0% MisTKy PROVEN138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.9k100% zb8138d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $10.0k100% Gleaming-Pear138d agoexcluded