Daily recap
Wednesday, July 8, 2026
96 whale trades totalling $3.60M from 70 wallets. Biggest: $169.9k buy No on “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?” at 85¢. 1 of 1 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 0.7 expected (+28.1 pts).
Whale trades
96
Volume
$3.60M
Wallets
70
Resolved edge
+28.1 pts
Biggest trades
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 85¢ | $169.9k 6.3× usual |
called |
 Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | MED BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 55¢ | $140.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $115.4k 2.2× usual |
missed |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | HIGH BUY Colorado Rockies @ 32¢ | $115.4k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $113.4k 5.1× usual |
missed |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $112.3k 2.8× usual |
called |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | HIGH BUY Colorado Rockies @ 29¢ | $102.0k | excluded |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $97.6k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ | $96.2k 3.6× usual |
called |
 France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 48¢ | $96.0k 2.8× usual |
missed |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $94.5k | called |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | LOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 99.9¢ | $92.4k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $91.1k 4.3× usual |
called |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | MED BUY No @ 38¢ | $88.6k 4.2× usual |
missed |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $86.8k | called |
Most traded markets
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$503.3k · 7 flags
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$451.0k · 12 flags
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$431.5k · 12 flags
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$306.7k · 10 flags
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$245.3k · 2 flags
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals$203.7k · 3 flags
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