← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $115.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$115.4k
SELL Yes @ 78¢ · 147,994 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Qtyu took Yes (sell) for $115.4k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $115.4k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 22.0%
- Size
- $115.4k
- Placed
- Jul 08, 02:43 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Qtyu
- Tx
- 0x880dd4aa…
This wallet's graded record
4/5+2.2 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |