Tuesday, July 7, 2026

449 whale trades totalling $19.83M from 277 wallets. Biggest: $913.3k sell No on “Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” at 85¢. 59 of 75 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 53.4 expected (+7.4 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 85¢	$913.3k 18.6× usual	15%	ndb1 PROVEN	108d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$748.5k 31.3× usual	100%	0x8b4b…541b PROVEN	108d ago	excluded
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$399.2k 10.0× usual	100%	0x9bb1…4dbe	108d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	HIGH BUY Argentina @ 74¢	$382.2k 7.4× usual	74%	cnyek	108d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	HIGH BUY Egypt @ 57¢	$336.0k 8.0× usual	57%	0x2c33…0563	108d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	HIGH BUY Egypt @ 37¢	$288.4k	37%	skk1ch	108d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$283.8k 5.7× usual	100%	elmcap2	108d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	MED BUY Argentina @ 86¢	$250.2k 4.9× usual	86%	cnyek	108d ago	called	Trade this
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	MED BUY Argentina @ 76¢	$243.5k	76%	muchobliged	108d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	MED BUY Argentina @ 54¢	$242.5k 5.8× usual	54%	0x2c33…0563	108d ago	excluded
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$239.6k 5.3× usual	100%	borntoolate.eth	108d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 79¢	$230.2k 7.2× usual	21%	wkmfa518	108d ago	missed	Trade this
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?	MED BUY No @ 93¢	$222.5k 8.4× usual	93%	swisstony PROVEN	108d ago	called	Trade this
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 83¢	$212.8k 4.3× usual	17%	ndb1 PROVEN	108d ago	missed	Trade this
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5	HIGH BUY Under @ 75¢	$207.1k 7.8× usual	75%	swisstony PROVEN	108d ago	excluded

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

SELL No @ 85¢$913.3k

HIGH PROVEN ndb1 · 108d ago

Trade this

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$748.5k

MED PROVEN 0x8b4b…541b · 108d ago

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$399.2k

LOW 0x9bb1…4dbe · 108d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Argentina @ 74¢$382.2k

HIGH cnyek · 108d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Egypt @ 57¢$336.0k

HIGH 0x2c33…0563 · 108d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Egypt @ 37¢$288.4k

HIGH skk1ch · 108d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$283.8k

LOW elmcap2 · 108d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancecalled

BUY Argentina @ 86¢$250.2k

MED cnyek · 108d ago

Trade this

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Argentina @ 76¢$243.5k

MED muchobliged · 108d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Argentina @ 54¢$242.5k

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 108d ago

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$239.6k

LOW borntoolate.eth · 108d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 79¢$230.2k

MED wkmfa518 · 108d ago

Trade this

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?called

BUY No @ 93¢$222.5k

MED PROVEN swisstony · 108d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

SELL No @ 83¢$212.8k

HIGH PROVEN ndb1 · 108d ago

Trade this

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5excluded

BUY Under @ 75¢$207.1k

HIGH PROVEN swisstony · 108d ago

Most traded markets

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

$6.79M · 127 flags

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

$2.99M · 101 flags

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$1.80M · 20 flags

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$1.63M · 11 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

$579.1k · 11 flags

Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

$451.7k · 13 flags