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What this means. A wallet put $748.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.0 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$748.5k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 750,000 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteProven wallet31.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x8b4b…541b took No (buy) for $748.5k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $748.5k+3
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $748.5k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 06:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 17:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8b4b…541b
- Tx
- 0xb7e6bc0e…
This wallet's graded record
18/22+1.0 pts
expected 17.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $239.6k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $399.2k 10.0× usual |
excluded |