0xf924…7545

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Trump out as President before 2027?+$53No · avg 95.4¢ → 95.8¢ · $14.4k Xi Jinping out before 2027?+$6No · avg 96.7¢ → 96.8¢ · $10.1k Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?+$333No · avg 93.5¢ → 98.6¢ · $6,574 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?+$60No · avg 97.4¢ → 98.5¢ · $5,409 Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?+$6No · avg 97.7¢ → 98.5¢ · $850

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$249.2k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$3,294

Last 30 days +$206 · $569.5k volume · 290 trades · since Mar 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$2,864

Open P&L · 5 positions

+$458

Closed-position win rate

100%

11 closed

Wallet age · markets

225d

16 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$72.9k 3.6× usual	100%	89d ago	excluded
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$18.0k	100%	109d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$29.6k	99%	111d ago	excluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢	$11.8k	98%	111d ago	excluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢	$13.0k	98%	114d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$20.0k	0%	181d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$83.9k 4.2× usual	100%	204d ago	excluded

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$72.9k

LOW 0xf924…7545 · 89d ago

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$18.0k

LOW 0xf924…7545 · 109d ago

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$29.6k

LOW 0xf924…7545 · 111d ago

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 98.4¢$11.8k

LOW 0xf924…7545 · 111d ago

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 98.1¢$13.0k

LOW 0xf924…7545 · 114d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$20.0k

LOW 0xf924…7545 · 181d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$83.9k

LOW 0xf924…7545 · 204d ago

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