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Daily recap

Monday, July 6, 2026

282 whale trades totalling $11.48M from 194 wallets. Biggest: $1.18M buy Belgium on “United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance” at 47¢. 51 of 125 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 70.0 expected (-15.2 pts).

Whale trades
282
Volume
$11.48M
Wallets
194
Resolved edge
-15.2 pts

Biggest trades

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceHIGH BUY Belgium @ 47¢ $1.18M47% DEEDDIT109d agocalled
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $300.4k
3.3× usual
100% kgvdotcom109d agoexcluded
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise MertensHIGH BUY Elise Mertens @ 52¢ $277.9k
7.4× usual
52% Eztennis109d agoexcluded
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceHIGH BUY United States @ 53¢ $260.5k53% SpainML NEW109d agomissed
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise MertensMED BUY Marie Bouzkova @ 46¢ $229.5k46% palegrit109d agoexcluded
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra EalaMED BUY Jasmine Paolini @ 63¢ $187.5k
4.3× usual
63% 0x547f…2937109d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?MED BUY Yes @ 72¢ $180.0k
2.0× usual
72% pandasifu109d agocalled
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY No @ 97¢ $168.0k
4.2× usual
97% 0x9bb1…4dbe109d agocalled
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceMED BUY United States @ 53¢ $147.2k
3.3× usual
53% Jokerxing7109d agomissed
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?HIGH SELL No @ 83¢ $132.9k
2.7× usual
17% ndb1 PROVEN109d agomissed
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $125.9k
4.4× usual
100% debased109d agoexcluded
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceMED BUY Belgium @ 72¢ $124.5k
4.2× usual
72% 0xc41d…74fd109d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 95.2¢ $123.9k
4.6× usual
95% TheReturnOfDarthMaul109d agocalled
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra EalaMED BUY Jasmine Paolini @ 58¢ $115.0k
3.1× usual
58% Eztennis109d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?MED BUY No @ 91.8¢ $114.0k
4.2× usual
92% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN109d agocalled
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