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What this means. A wallet put $186.0k on Belgium, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.2 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$186.0k
BUY Belgium @ 48¢ · 385,567 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $100k8 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)5.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet wr0ngw4yb3tt0r took Belgium (buy) for $186.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Belgium, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $186.0k+2
8 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+107American odds
$1.00paid per share if Belgium wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.2%
- As American odds
- +107 no vig
- Size
- $186.0k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 15:00 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Belgium
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
- Tx
- 0xed772693…
This wallet's graded record
9/21-1.2 pts
expected 9.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +52 ptsBelgium price · entry 48¢ · resolved Belgium
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $41.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |