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What this means. A wallet put $1.18M on Belgium, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.18M
BUY Belgium @ 47¢ · 2,514,177 shares in 10 fills
Size ≥ $250k10 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet DEEDDIT took Belgium (buy) for $1.18M at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Belgium, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.18M+3
10 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+112American odds
$1.00paid per share if Belgium wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.1%
- As American odds
- +112 no vig
- Size
- $1.18M
- Placed
- Jul 06, 17:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Belgium
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- DEEDDIT
- Tx
- 0x8d24dcdb…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+36.1 pts
expected 4.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +53 ptsBelgium price · entry 47¢ · resolved Belgium
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $41.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |