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What this means. A wallet put $251.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$251.4k
BUY No @ 96.6¢ · 260,265 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)16.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet LlamaLoco0000 took No (buy) for $251.4k at an average 96.6¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $251.4k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−2841American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.6¢
- Implied odds
- 96.6%
- As American odds
- −2841 no vig
- Size
- $251.4k
- Placed
- Jun 24, 01:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 01:08 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LlamaLoco0000
- Tx
- 0x85dc8c11…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-18.1 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $89.9k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $11.0k | called |