muchobliged

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$5.02M

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$1.96M

Last 30 days +$0 · $31.10M volume · 6,330 trades · since Jun 29, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$8.12M

Open P&L · 6 positions

−$6.08M

Closed-position win rate

100%

15 closed

Wallet age · markets

116d

21 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	HIGH BUY Over @ 51¢	$1.23M	51%	106d ago	excluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	HIGH BUY Over @ 50¢	$3.42M 4.6× usual	50%	106d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	MED BUY Argentina @ 76¢	$243.5k	76%	108d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	MED BUY No @ 39¢	$131.1k	39%	112d ago	excluded

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Over @ 51¢$1.23M

HIGH muchobliged · 106d ago

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Over @ 50¢$3.42M

HIGH muchobliged · 106d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Argentina @ 76¢$243.5k

MED muchobliged · 108d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?excluded

BUY No @ 39¢$131.1k

MED muchobliged · 112d ago

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