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What this means. A wallet put $96.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$96.0k
BUY Over @ 48¢ · 200,000 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet AlexMercerOne took Over (buy) for $96.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $96.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $96.0k
- Placed
- Jul 08, 19:56 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AlexMercerOne
- Tx
- 0x07ce283c…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+0.1 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsOver price · entry 48¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 98.7¢ | $46.1k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 97.2¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 40¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 45¢ | $40.1k | excluded |