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France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $20.4k on not Under, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.4k
SELL Under @ 99.8¢ · 20,445 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x7d6d…2654 took Under (sell) for $20.4k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $20.4k
- Placed
- Jul 09, 18:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x7d6d…2654
- Tx
- 0xcfe85af4…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-41.9 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 98.7¢ | $46.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Under @ 97.2¢ | $16.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 40¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Over @ 45¢ | $40.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Over @ 51¢ | $58.4k | excluded |