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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -41.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-41.9 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$281.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.75M
Last 30 days +$0 · $29.75M volume · 705 trades · since Jul 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$3.41M
Open P&L · 118 positions
−$5.06M
Closed-position win rate
85%
110 closed
Wallet age · markets
114d
217 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.8 | -41.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ | $118.9k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | MED BUY Astralis @ 56¢ | $60.0k | excluded |
 France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY United States @ 53¢ | $50.0k | missed |
| Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | MED BUY Yes @ 31¢ | $31.9k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7d6d24…