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What this means. A wallet put $60.0k on Astralis, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$60.0k
BUY Astralis @ 56¢ · 106,290 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x7d6d…2654 took Astralis (buy) for $60.0k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Astralis. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $60.0k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−130American odds
$1.00paid per share if Astralis wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.4%
- As American odds
- −130 no vig
- Size
- $60.0k
- Placed
- Jul 31, 12:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 12:10 EDT
- Result
- Astralis
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x7d6d…2654
- Tx
- 0x04af0ca1…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-41.9 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +44 ptsAstralis price · entry 56¢ · resolved Astralis
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ | $118.9k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ | $23.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Astralis @ 92.5¢ | $15.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Astralis @ 96¢ | $32.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Astralis @ 79¢ | $20.3k | excluded |