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What this means. A wallet put $60.0k on Astralis, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsexcluded
$60.0k
BUY Astralis @ 56¢ · 106,290 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x7d6d…2654 took Astralis (buy) for $60.0k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Astralis. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $60.0k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−130American odds
$1.00paid per share if Astralis wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
56¢
Implied odds
56.4%
As American odds
−130 no vig
Size
$60.0k
Placed
Jul 31, 12:31 EDT
Market close
Jul 31, 12:10 EDT
Result
Astralis
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x7d6d…2654
Tx
0x04af0ca1…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-41.9 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +44 pts
Astralis price · entry 56¢ · resolved Astralis
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 56¢ · $60.0k WHALE $60.0K @ 56¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsLOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ $118.9k
2.4× usual
0% 0x7d6d…265485d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsLOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ $18.8k0% dauntlesswitness85d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsLOW SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢ $23.5k0% danielwolfmorales3pddb6d85d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsLOW SELL Astralis @ 92.5¢ $15.5k8% roll4785d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsLOW BUY Astralis @ 96¢ $32.8k96% 467j6yj85d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsLOW BUY Astralis @ 79¢ $20.3k79% roll4785d agoexcluded