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What this means. A wallet put $31.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$31.9k
BUY Yes @ 31¢ · 103,759 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet 0x7d6d…2654 took Yes (buy) for $31.9k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+225American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 30.7%
- As American odds
- +225 no vig
- Size
- $31.9k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 21:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 02, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x7d6d…2654
- Tx
- 0xa8bb7f61…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-41.9 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -31 ptsYes price · entry 31¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $36.9k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 78¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | MED BUY No @ 71¢ | $152.3k 3.3× usual |
called |
| Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $26.0k | called |