Thursday, July 2, 2026

160 whale trades totalling $7.11M from 115 wallets. Biggest: $519.5k buy No on “Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” at 99.9¢. 10 of 16 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 8.4 expected (+10.1 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$519.5k 21.7× usual	100%	0x8b4b…541b PROVEN	113d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$500.6k 16.4× usual	100%	foodenjoyer	113d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 83¢	$335.2k 11.0× usual	83%	foodenjoyer	113d ago	called	Trade this
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$299.4k 3.3× usual	0%	kgvdotcom	113d ago	excluded
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$298.7k 3.3× usual	100%	kgvdotcom	113d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	MED BUY Argentina @ 93¢	$232.5k 5.6× usual	93%	shijiebeifacai	113d ago	called	Trade this
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score	HIGH BUY Yes @ 58¢	$167.8k 6.1× usual	58%	RegardedMoney PROVEN	113d ago	excluded
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	MED BUY No @ 71¢	$152.3k 3.3× usual	71%	umeax	113d ago	called	Trade this
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	HIGH BUY No @ 88¢	$129.2k 4.9× usual	88%	swisstony PROVEN	113d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY No @ 80¢	$127.0k	80%	0x2233…cb7e	113d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 83¢	$124.3k 6.6× usual	83%	XAE12Archangel	113d ago	called	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	MED SELL No @ 99.7¢	$102.3k 4.2× usual	0%	The Spirit of Ukraine>UM	113d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 83¢	$102.2k 5.7× usual	83%	yungstalin	113d ago	called	Trade this
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$98.4k 3.4× usual	100%	debased	113d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 82¢	$98.3k	82%	MiuMiuYan	113d ago	called	Trade this

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$519.5k

MED PROVEN 0x8b4b…541b · 113d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$500.6k

LOW foodenjoyer · 113d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 83¢$335.2k

MED foodenjoyer · 113d ago

Trade this

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$299.4k

MED kgvdotcom · 113d ago

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$298.7k

LOW kgvdotcom · 113d ago

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancecalled

BUY Argentina @ 93¢$232.5k

MED shijiebeifacai · 113d ago

Trade this

Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scoreexcluded

BUY Yes @ 58¢$167.8k

HIGH PROVEN RegardedMoney · 113d ago

Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?called

BUY No @ 71¢$152.3k

MED umeax · 113d ago

Trade this

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?missed

BUY No @ 88¢$129.2k

HIGH PROVEN swisstony · 113d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY No @ 80¢$127.0k

MED 0x2233…cb7e · 113d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 83¢$124.3k

MED XAE12Archangel · 113d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$102.3k

MED The Spirit of Ukraine>UM · 113d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 83¢$102.2k

MED yungstalin · 113d ago

Trade this

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$98.4k

LOW debased · 113d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 82¢$98.3k

MED MiuMiuYan · 113d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$858.9k · 3 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$849.0k · 11 flags

Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

$623.1k · 18 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$500.6k · 1 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

$490.4k · 10 flags

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

$420.2k · 7 flags