← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $40.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.8k
BUY No @ 89¢ · 45,839 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteProven walletOther
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $40.8k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $40.8k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−809American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 89.0%
- Size
- $40.8k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 05:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 02, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x3aa9e1cb…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -89 ptsNo price · entry 89¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.6k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $23.7k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia? | LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia? | MED BUY No @ 88¢ | $27.1k | excluded |