WhaleGrader
Log inSign up
← Wallets

C03B

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?+$474Yes · avg 62¢ → 66¢ · $7,941Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?−$172No · avg 89¢ → 86¢ · $5,000Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?+$970No · avg 79¢ → 98.1¢ · $4,881Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?−$1,032No · avg 85¢ → 68¢ · $4,248Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?+$87Yes · avg 32¢ → 33¢ · $3,961Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?+$358No · avg 81¢ → 92¢ · $3,117Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?−$20No · avg 95.4¢ → 94.8¢ · $3,064Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?+$90No · avg 90¢ → 98.9¢ · $1,008

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 2 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$670.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$345.5k
Last 30 days +$38.4k · $30.92M volume · 26,798 trades · since Oct 27, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$480.8k
Open P&L · 24 positions
+$23.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
362d
2269 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $17.8k100% 1d agopending
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.5k100% 1d agopending
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% 87d agoexcluded
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ $26.0k98% 113d agoexcluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $24.8k99% 117d agoexcluded
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $128.2k
5.2× usual
100% 128d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $34.7k99% 143d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ $15.4k98% 147d agoexcluded
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super KingsLOW BUY Gujarat Titans @ 99.7¢ $64.4k
2.6× usual
100% 156d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?LOW SELL No @ 75¢ $17.6k25% 156d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?LOW BUY No @ 65¢ $23.5k65% 164d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.6k
2.0× usual
100% 176d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $15.1k100% 176d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $17.5k95% 177d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ $24.1k3% 179d agomissed
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $27.8k90% 183d agocalled
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $133.9k
5.4× usual
99% 208d agoexcluded
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?pending
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$17.8k
LOW C03B · 1d ago
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?pending
BUY No @ 99.8¢$24.5k
LOW C03B · 1d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$25.0k
LOW C03B · 87d ago
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98¢$26.0k
LOW C03B · 113d ago
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99¢$24.8k
LOW C03B · 117d ago
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$128.2k
LOW C03B · 128d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$34.7k
LOW C03B · 143d ago
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?excluded
BUY No @ 97.8¢$15.4k
LOW C03B · 147d ago
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsexcluded
BUY Gujarat Titans @ 99.7¢$64.4k
LOW C03B · 156d ago
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?excluded
SELL No @ 75¢$17.6k
LOW C03B · 156d ago
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?excluded
BUY No @ 65¢$23.5k
LOW C03B · 164d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$50.6k
LOW C03B · 176d ago
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$15.1k
LOW C03B · 176d ago
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?excluded
BUY No @ 95¢$17.5k
LOW C03B · 177d ago
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?missed
SELL No @ 96.5¢$24.1k
LOW C03B · 179d ago
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?called
BUY No @ 90¢$27.8k
LOW C03B · 183d ago
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$133.9k
LOW C03B · 208d ago

Share this record

WhaleGrader badge
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x40604cb1f958c03bea0b18aa43e4cb0d62f33ec3"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x40604cb1f958c03bea0b18aa43e4cb0d62f33ec3.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x40604c…