Wednesday, July 1, 2026

161 whale trades totalling $15.53M from 124 wallets. Biggest: $7.16M buy Yes on “Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?” at 48¢. 12 of 21 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 12.6 expected (-2.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 48¢	$7.16M 7.9× usual	48%	DEEDDIT	114d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 51¢	$1.38M	51%	coldsway	114d ago	excluded
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$299.4k 3.3× usual	100%	kgvdotcom	114d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	MED BUY Yes @ 47¢	$298.5k 13.2× usual	47%	mooseborzoi LOSING	114d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	MED BUY No @ 53¢	$294.5k 5.1× usual	53%	gmpm2	114d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 46¢	$272.9k	46%	hotwheels11	114d ago	missed	Trade this
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	HIGH BUY Argentina @ 91¢	$232.3k 4.7× usual	91%	ndb1 PROVEN	114d ago	called	Trade this
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢	$187.6k 8.6× usual	98%	pilimili	115d ago	excluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 37¢	$186.5k 7.5× usual	37%	neutralwave23 PROVEN	114d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢	$170.7k 7.9× usual	98%	pilimili	115d ago	excluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY No @ 90.8¢	$145.5k 6.8× usual	91%	blkmont	114d ago	called	Trade this
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	MED BUY Yes @ 48¢	$127.7k	48%	0x006c…16ea	114d ago	excluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢	$125.4k 5.8× usual	99%	pilimili	114d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$118.8k 3.9× usual	100%	foodenjoyer	114d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	MED SELL No @ 51¢	$116.0k 6.3× usual	49%	GRINGOMATE	114d ago	excluded

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded

BUY Yes @ 48¢$7.16M

HIGH DEEDDIT · 114d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded

BUY Yes @ 51¢$1.38M

HIGH coldsway · 114d ago

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$299.4k

LOW kgvdotcom · 114d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded

BUY Yes @ 47¢$298.5k

MED LOSING mooseborzoi · 114d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded

BUY No @ 53¢$294.5k

MED gmpm2 · 114d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?missed

BUY Yes @ 46¢$272.9k

HIGH hotwheels11 · 114d ago

Trade this

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancecalled

BUY Argentina @ 91¢$232.3k

HIGH PROVEN ndb1 · 114d ago

Trade this

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 97.6¢$187.6k

LOW pilimili · 115d ago

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 37¢$186.5k

HIGH PROVEN neutralwave23 · 114d ago

Trade this

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 98.2¢$170.7k

LOW pilimili · 115d ago

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY No @ 90.8¢$145.5k

MED blkmont · 114d ago

Trade this

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded

BUY Yes @ 48¢$127.7k

MED 0x006c…16ea · 114d ago

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$125.4k

LOW pilimili · 114d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$118.8k

LOW foodenjoyer · 114d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded

SELL No @ 51¢$116.0k

MED GRINGOMATE · 114d ago

Most traded markets

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

$11.64M · 61 flags

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$369.8k · 11 flags

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

$347.9k · 3 flags

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$308.2k · 3 flags

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$299.4k · 1 flags

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$279.8k · 8 flags