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What this means. A wallet put $232.3k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$232.3k
BUY Argentina @ 91¢ · 255,258 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet4.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Argentina (buy) for $232.3k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $232.3k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 91.0%
- As American odds
- −1011 no vig
- Size
- $232.3k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 16:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x1760432f…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +9 ptsArgentina price · entry 91¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 96.2¢ | $45.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |