← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not Argentina, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ · 12,030 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet CHINESEPRO1 took Argentina (sell) for $12.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Jul 03, 20:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- CHINESEPRO1
- Tx
- 0xdff54737…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+41.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 96.2¢ | $45.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |