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What this means. A wallet put $187.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$187.6k
BUY No @ 97.6¢ · 192,170 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)8.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet pilimili took No (buy) for $187.6k at an average 97.6¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $187.6k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4067American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.6¢
- Implied odds
- 97.6%
- As American odds
- −4067 no vig
- Size
- $187.6k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 02:43 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 01:08 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pilimili
- Tx
- 0xe5699d76…
This wallet's graded record
9/17+9.6 pts
expected 7.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $89.9k | excluded |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $11.0k | called |