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Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $294.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded$294.5k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 555,600 shares
Size ≥ $250kLate (<1h before start)6.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gmpm2 took No (buy) for $294.5k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $294.5k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $294.5k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 15:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 01, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- gmpm2
- Tx
- 0x91cc21a4…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-6.9 pts
expected 10.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsNo price · entry 53¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.8k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | MED BUY No @ 90.5¢ | $99.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | MED BUY No @ 88¢ | $62.5k | excluded |