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Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $39.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded$39.8k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 39,840 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet chizidahu took No (sell) for $39.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $39.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $39.8k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 19:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 01, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- chizidahu
- Tx
- 0x5eb3a529…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-50.5 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | MED BUY No @ 90.5¢ | $99.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | MED BUY No @ 88¢ | $62.5k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 89¢ | $16.5k | excluded |