0x006c…16ea

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +14.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?+$5,315No · avg 91.2¢ → 97.7¢ · $80.4k

Price-adjusted edge

+14.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.9

Flagged volume

$470.5k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$4.71M

Last 30 days +$221 · $64.26M volume · 6,406 trades · since Nov 02, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$15.01M

Open P&L · 1 positions

+$5,315

Closed-position win rate

57%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

721d

508 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	1	1	0.9	+14.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	MED BUY Yes @ 48¢	$127.7k	48%	114d ago	excluded
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢	$97.5k	65%	123d ago	excluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢	$11.4k	57%	125d ago	excluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	LOW BUY No @ 86¢	$40.6k	86%	216d ago	called
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$30.0k	0%	237d ago	excluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢	$163.2k 2.4× usual	99%	237d ago	excluded

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded

BUY Yes @ 48¢$127.7k

MED 0x006c…16ea · 114d ago

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?excluded

BUY Yes @ 65¢$97.5k

LOW 0x006c…16ea · 123d ago

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?excluded

BUY Yes @ 57¢$11.4k

LOW 0x006c…16ea · 125d ago

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?called

BUY No @ 86¢$40.6k

LOW 0x006c…16ea · 216d ago

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$30.0k

LOW 0x006c…16ea · 237d ago

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99¢$163.2k

LOW 0x006c…16ea · 237d ago

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