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What this means. A wallet put $163.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$163.2k
BUY Yes @ 99¢ · 164,886 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)2.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x006c…16ea took Yes (buy) for $163.2k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $163.2k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 99.0%
- As American odds
- −9900 no vig
- Size
- $163.2k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 15:52 EST
- Market close
- Feb 28, 12:30 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x006c…16ea
- Tx
- 0x0ea9d3e7…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+14.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $83.8k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $69.2k 3.1× usual |
excluded |