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What this means. A wallet put $298.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$298.7k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 299,600 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite3.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet kgvdotcom took No (buy) for $298.7k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $298.7k+3
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $298.7k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 18:00 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 00:20 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kgvdotcom
- Tx
- 0xbea735a9…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+4.6 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $98.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $29.7k | excluded |