Tuesday, July 28, 2026

79 whale trades totalling $4.84M from 68 wallets. Biggest: $1.23M buy No on “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?” at 99.9¢. 108 of 158 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 100.6 expected (+4.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$1.23M	100%	RonaldoCry NEW	87d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$298.5k 12.3× usual	100%	ImJustKen	87d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$298.1k	100%	Deeyeo	87d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$280.7k 5.6× usual	100%	elmcap2	87d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 74¢	$202.2k 6.6× usual	74%	foodenjoyer	88d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$169.5k	100%	JamesBonder007	87d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$161.3k 4.3× usual	100%	tsekinming01	87d ago	excluded
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$140.9k 6.8× usual	0%	tourists	87d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$139.5k 2.1× usual	100%	bondor	87d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 18¢	$92.5k 2.5× usual	18%	Erasmus. PROVEN	87d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$89.6k	100%	bullishkirby2	87d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢	$83.2k 2.2× usual	79%	0xbe18…3be4	87d ago	called	Trade this
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul	LOW SELL Kamil Majchrzak @ 99.9¢	$74.9k	0%	Lawsuitevidencejuly2026	87d ago	excluded
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	MED BUY HANJIN BRION @ 65¢	$66.6k	65%	SilkyAnteater	87d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 76¢	$65.4k 3.3× usual	76%	floatingraft	87d ago	excluded

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$1.23M

MED New wallet RonaldoCry · 87d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$298.5k

LOW ImJustKen · 87d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$298.1k

LOW Deeyeo · 87d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$280.7k

LOW elmcap2 · 87d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 74¢$202.2k

MED foodenjoyer · 88d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$169.5k

LOW JamesBonder007 · 87d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$161.3k

LOW tsekinming01 · 87d ago

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$140.9k

LOW tourists · 87d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$139.5k

LOW bondor · 87d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed

BUY No @ 18¢$92.5k

MED PROVEN Erasmus. · 87d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$89.6k

LOW bullishkirby2 · 87d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 79¢$83.2k

LOW 0xbe18…3be4 · 87d ago

Trade this

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulexcluded

SELL Kamil Majchrzak @ 99.9¢$74.9k

LOW Lawsuitevidencejuly2026 · 87d ago

LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierexcluded

BUY HANJIN BRION @ 65¢$66.6k

MED SilkyAnteater · 87d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 76¢$65.4k

MED floatingraft · 87d ago

Most traded markets

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$1.39M · 3 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$1.13M · 9 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

$530.3k · 20 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$410.7k · 4 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$366.8k · 7 flags

LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

$290.5k · 10 flags