Wednesday, July 29, 2026

290 whale trades totalling $12.16M from 246 wallets. Biggest: $367.5k buy Yes on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?” at 73¢. 4 of 4 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 3.1 expected (+21.4 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 73¢	$367.5k 9.8× usual	73%	Erasmus. PROVEN	86d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$264.6k	100%	tipISappreciated	86d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$246.2k	100%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	86d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$242.2k	100%	tipISappreciated	86d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 75¢	$199.8k 5.4× usual	75%	Erasmus. PROVEN	86d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$199.6k 7.5× usual	0%	TheReturnOfDarthMaul	86d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 80¢	$193.6k	80%	xeroror NEW	87d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$175.3k 11.0× usual	0%	LOL-eric	86d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$158.0k	0%	MiuMiuYan	86d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$110.0k 2.2× usual	100%	JAHODA	86d ago	excluded
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics	MED BUY Boston Red Sox @ 59¢	$108.5k 2.8× usual	59%	0x3dfb…abaf	86d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	0%	vgybhu	86d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$94.3k	100%	0xe639…082a	87d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 24¢	$91.9k	24%	sleepy-panda LOSING	86d ago	excluded
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	MED BUY No @ 99.7¢	$90.1k	100%	0x4446…39c9 NEW	86d ago	excluded

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 73¢$367.5k

HIGH PROVEN Erasmus. · 86d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$264.6k

LOW tipISappreciated · 86d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$246.2k

LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 86d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$242.2k

LOW tipISappreciated · 86d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 75¢$199.8k

HIGH PROVEN Erasmus. · 86d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$199.6k

LOW TheReturnOfDarthMaul · 86d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 80¢$193.6k

HIGH New wallet xeroror · 87d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$175.3k

LOW LOL-eric · 86d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$158.0k

LOW MiuMiuYan · 86d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$110.0k

LOW JAHODA · 86d ago

Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsexcluded

BUY Boston Red Sox @ 59¢$108.5k

MED 0x3dfb…abaf · 86d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW vgybhu · 86d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$94.3k

LOW 0xe639…082a · 87d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 24¢$91.9k

MED LOSING sleepy-panda · 86d ago

Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$90.1k

MED New wallet 0x4446…39c9 · 86d ago

Most traded markets

Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

$4.16M · 86 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

$3.41M · 76 flags

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

$1.65M · 36 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$730.1k · 20 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$526.7k · 5 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$296.4k · 10 flags