Thursday, July 30, 2026

260 whale trades totalling $12.38M from 220 wallets. Biggest: $489.5k buy No on “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” at 97.3¢. 13 of 36 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 20.0 expected (-19.5 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢	$489.5k 5.0× usual	97%	0xe639…082a	85d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	HIGH BUY No @ 58¢	$372.4k 12.2× usual	58%	foodenjoyer	86d ago	called	Trade this
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox	HIGH BUY Chicago White Sox @ 51¢	$264.8k 4.2× usual	51%	mentionmarket	85d ago	excluded
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	MED BUY Texas Rangers @ 49¢	$238.2k 12.3× usual	49%	suntori LOSING	86d ago	excluded
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	MED BUY Texas Rangers @ 44¢	$218.4k 5.8× usual	44%	Eztennis	85d ago	excluded
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres	MED BUY San Diego Padres @ 59¢	$162.1k 4.3× usual	59%	0x3dfb…abaf	85d ago	missed	Trade this
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	MED BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 57¢	$153.0k 3.7× usual	57%	0x2c33…0563	86d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 96.2¢	$145.9k	96%	0xe639…082a	86d ago	called	Trade this
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 41¢	$140.4k 4.6× usual	41%	foodenjoyer	86d ago	missed	Trade this
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$113.9k 3.3× usual	100%	Alder	86d ago	excluded
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox	LOW BUY Chicago White Sox @ 51¢	$92.0k 4.1× usual	51%	ferrariChampions2026	85d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 47¢	$76.6k 2.5× usual	47%	foodenjoyer	86d ago	missed	Trade this
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres	LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 60¢	$69.5k	60%	0x3dfb…abaf	85d ago	missed	Trade this
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres	LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 61¢	$67.8k	61%	0x3dfb…abaf	85d ago	excluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	MED BUY Dplus KIA @ 42¢	$61.4k	42%	Eztennis	86d ago	excluded

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 97.3¢$489.5k

LOW 0xe639…082a · 85d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 58¢$372.4k

HIGH foodenjoyer · 86d ago

Trade this

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxexcluded

BUY Chicago White Sox @ 51¢$264.8k

HIGH mentionmarket · 85d ago

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysexcluded

BUY Texas Rangers @ 49¢$238.2k

MED LOSING suntori · 86d ago

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysexcluded

BUY Texas Rangers @ 44¢$218.4k

MED Eztennis · 85d ago

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresmissed

BUY San Diego Padres @ 59¢$162.1k

MED 0x3dfb…abaf · 85d ago

Trade this

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupexcluded

BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 57¢$153.0k

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 86d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 96.2¢$145.9k

MED 0xe639…082a · 86d ago

Trade this

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?missed

BUY Yes @ 41¢$140.4k

MED foodenjoyer · 86d ago

Trade this

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$113.9k

LOW Alder · 86d ago

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxexcluded

BUY Chicago White Sox @ 51¢$92.0k

LOW ferrariChampions2026 · 85d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?missed

BUY No @ 47¢$76.6k

MED foodenjoyer · 86d ago

Trade this

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresmissed

BUY San Diego Padres @ 60¢$69.5k

LOW 0x3dfb…abaf · 85d ago

Trade this

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresexcluded

BUY San Diego Padres @ 61¢$67.8k

LOW 0x3dfb…abaf · 85d ago

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupexcluded

BUY Dplus KIA @ 42¢$61.4k

MED Eztennis · 86d ago

Most traded markets

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

$7.64M · 153 flags

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$741.5k · 14 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

$635.4k · 2 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

$614.0k · 5 flags

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

$598.1k · 12 flags

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

$568.4k · 18 flags