Saturday, July 25, 2026

42 whale trades totalling $1.43M from 33 wallets. Biggest: $322.1k buy Yes on “Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?” at 57¢. 4 of 4 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 3.2 expected (+19.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 57¢	$322.1k	57%	beachboy4	90d ago	excluded
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?	MED BUY Yes @ 45¢	$190.8k	45%	beachboy4	90d ago	excluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$69.8k	100%	BrightStars	90d ago	excluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢	$63.1k	97%	makinta	91d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$44.7k	99%	Tigerofthehood	90d ago	excluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢	$43.7k 2.3× usual	75%	betwick	91d ago	called	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$42.3k 2.6× usual	1%	pakukudolphi	91d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$36.7k	99%	Tigerofthehood	91d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$30.0k	1%	sabsabinxz	90d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	MED BUY No @ 87¢	$30.0k 2.1× usual	87%	grinder1011	91d ago	called	Trade this
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢	$29.7k	99%	scout	90d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢	$29.1k	76%	foodenjoyer	90d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$29.0k	99%	jinwujinshu	91d ago	excluded
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	LOW BUY No @ 81¢	$26.2k	81%	0x7131…29cc	90d ago	excluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢	$23.5k	98%	thoodr	91d ago	excluded

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 57¢$322.1k

HIGH beachboy4 · 90d ago

Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 45¢$190.8k

MED beachboy4 · 90d ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$69.8k

LOW BrightStars · 90d ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?called

BUY Yes @ 97¢$63.1k

LOW makinta · 91d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$44.7k

LOW Tigerofthehood · 90d ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?called

BUY Yes @ 75¢$43.7k

LOW betwick · 91d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$42.3k

LOW pakukudolphi · 91d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$36.7k

LOW Tigerofthehood · 91d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$30.0k

LOW sabsabinxz · 90d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?called

BUY No @ 87¢$30.0k

MED grinder1011 · 91d ago

Trade this

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.2¢$29.7k

LOW scout · 90d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 76¢$29.1k

LOW foodenjoyer · 90d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$29.0k

LOW jinwujinshu · 91d ago

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?excluded

BUY No @ 81¢$26.2k

LOW 0x7131…29cc · 90d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?excluded

BUY No @ 98.2¢$23.5k

LOW thoodr · 91d ago

Most traded markets

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?

$332.3k · 2 flags

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?

$266.0k · 10 flags

Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?

$209.2k · 2 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$123.0k · 4 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$110.5k · 4 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

$70.3k · 4 flags