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grinder1011

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$83.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$14.8k
Last 30 days −$5,132 · $1.15M volume · 5,207 trades · since Jul 25, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 409 closed
+$19.6k
Open P&L · 300 positions
−$15.4k
Closed-position win rate
47%
409 closed
Wallet age · markets
91d
599 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ $11.3k2% 43d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?LOW SELL No @ 97.2¢ $15.9k3% 53d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢ $11.7k3% 72d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?MED BUY No @ 87¢ $30.0k
2.1× usual
87% 91d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?LOW BUY No @ 78¢ $14.2k78% 91d agocalled

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