← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
BUY Yes @ 82¢ · 14,485 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (buy) for $11.9k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−456American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 82.0%
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Jul 24, 12:38 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 25, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x1c9bc7eb…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +18 ptsYes price · entry 82¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $69.8k | excluded |