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What this means. A wallet put $43.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-0.3 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$43.7k
BUY Yes @ 75¢ · 58,523 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)2.3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet betwick took Yes (buy) for $43.7k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $43.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−295American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 74.7%
- Size
- $43.7k
- Placed
- Jul 25, 05:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- betwick
- Tx
- 0x80720826…
This wallet's graded record
12/21-0.3 pts
expected 12.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsYes price · entry 75¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $28.9k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $51.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |