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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ · 12,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet MissaoComFlavio took Yes (sell) for $12.0k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Aug 02, 09:47 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- MissaoComFlavio
- Tx
- 0xbae36412…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-13.1 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $28.9k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $51.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |