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What this means. A wallet put $190.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$190.8k
BUY Yes @ 45¢ · 424,588 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $100k8 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet beachboy4 took Yes (buy) for $190.8k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $190.8k+2
8 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 44.9%
- As American odds
- +122 no vig
- Size
- $190.8k
- Placed
- Jul 25, 22:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 25, 22:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- beachboy4
- Tx
- 0x523a1a9f…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-16.2 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -45 ptsYes price · entry 45¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $18.3k | excluded |