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What this means. A wallet put $21.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.4k
BUY Yes @ 77¢ · 27,762 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xbf4d…33ed took Yes (buy) for $21.4k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−335American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 77.0%
- Size
- $21.4k
- Placed
- Jul 23, 12:19 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 25, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xbf4d…33ed
- Tx
- 0xbe25fd42…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+23.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +23 ptsYes price · entry 77¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $69.8k | excluded |