Thursday, July 16, 2026

86 whale trades totalling $3.05M from 64 wallets. Biggest: $299.1k buy No on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢. 0 of 1 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 0.3 expected (-28.2 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$299.1k 5.9× usual	100%	JAHODA	100d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	MED BUY Yes @ 50¢	$150.3k	50%	pandasifu	100d ago	missed	Trade this
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY Spain @ 59¢	$150.0k	59%	Sparkling8899	100d ago	called	Trade this
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY Spain @ 59¢	$150.0k	59%	Sparkling8899	99d ago	called	Trade this
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D	HIGH BUY JD Gaming @ 35¢	$142.5k 4.2× usual	35%	SPCEXBUYER	100d ago	excluded
France vs. England: Team to Win	MED BUY England @ 36¢	$106.1k 5.1× usual	36%	NS13	99d ago	called	Trade this
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D	MED BUY JD Gaming @ 33¢	$75.9k 2.0× usual	33%	Eztennis	100d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99¢	$75.1k 6.8× usual	1%	alextalley	99d ago	excluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢	$72.2k	58%	0x2c33…0563	100d ago	called	Trade this
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY No @ 59¢	$67.6k 3.4× usual	59%	Zzzz87 PROVEN	99d ago	called	Trade this
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 41¢	$62.1k 3.1× usual	41%	Zzzz87 PROVEN	99d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED SELL Yes @ 42¢	$61.2k 2.8× usual	58%	unbribeableref	99d ago	called	Trade this
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D	LOW SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢	$59.1k 2.5× usual	0%	matenghehe	100d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 42¢	$51.4k 2.5× usual	58%	NS13	99d ago	called	Trade this
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	MED BUY Yes @ 50¢	$51.2k 2.4× usual	50%	omnibus-076daa PROVEN	99d ago	missed	Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$299.1k

LOW JAHODA · 100d ago

Will France win on 2026-07-18?missed

BUY Yes @ 50¢$150.3k

MED pandasifu · 100d ago

Trade this

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancecalled

BUY Spain @ 59¢$150.0k

MED Sparkling8899 · 100d ago

Trade this

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancecalled

BUY Spain @ 59¢$150.0k

MED Sparkling8899 · 99d ago

Trade this

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dexcluded

BUY JD Gaming @ 35¢$142.5k

HIGH SPCEXBUYER · 100d ago

France vs. England: Team to Wincalled

BUY England @ 36¢$106.1k

MED NS13 · 99d ago

Trade this

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dexcluded

BUY JD Gaming @ 33¢$75.9k

MED Eztennis · 100d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99¢$75.1k

LOW alextalley · 99d ago

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY Yes @ 58¢$72.2k

LOW 0x2c33…0563 · 100d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY No @ 59¢$67.6k

MED PROVEN Zzzz87 · 99d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 41¢$62.1k

MED PROVEN Zzzz87 · 99d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 42¢$61.2k

MED unbribeableref · 99d ago

Trade this

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dexcluded

SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢$59.1k

LOW matenghehe · 100d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 42¢$51.4k

LOW NS13 · 99d ago

Trade this

Will France win on 2026-07-18?missed

BUY Yes @ 50¢$51.2k

MED PROVEN omnibus-076daa · 99d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$481.0k · 16 flags

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

$477.0k · 16 flags

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

$311.8k · 3 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

$299.1k · 1 flags

Will France win on 2026-07-18?

$261.2k · 6 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$225.8k · 5 flags