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matenghehe

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did -3.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-3.8 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$950.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$295.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $13.64M volume · 8,582 trades · since Jun 07, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$1.14M
Open P&L · 74 positions
−$1.47M
Closed-position win rate
97%
310 closed
Wallet age · markets
139d
383 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports322.1-3.8 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 70¢ $21.0k70% 77d agoexcluded
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL HANJIN BRION @ 99.9¢ $44.0k0% 77d agoexcluded
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierLOW BUY Nongshim Red Force @ 73¢ $15.3k73% 82d agoexcluded
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupLOW SELL KT Rolster @ 99.9¢ $39.7k0% 82d agoexcluded
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $20.6k0% 83d agoexcluded
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 99.9¢ $29.8k0% 83d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerLOW SELL paiN @ 99.9¢ $47.4k0% 84d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerLOW BUY paiN @ 68¢ $22.4k68% 84d agoexcluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupLOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 64¢ $21.4k64% 85d agoexcluded
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL ThunderTalk Gaming @ 99.9¢ $50.4k
2.1× usual
0% 85d agoexcluded
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY ThunderTalk Gaming @ 94¢ $26.2k94% 85d agoexcluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 68¢ $21.9k68% 86d agoexcluded
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL Nongshim Red Force @ 99.9¢ $30.4k0% 87d agoexcluded
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY Nongshim Red Force @ 92¢ $28.0k92% 87d agoexcluded
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageLOW BUY T1 @ 98¢ $10.2k98% 89d agoexcluded
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageLOW SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% 89d agoexcluded
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLOW SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 99.9¢ $42.4k0% 89d agoexcluded
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL G2 Esports @ 99.9¢ $20.3k0% 91d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $44.2k60% 96d agocalled
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerLOW SELL Dplus KIA @ 99.9¢ $36.3k0% 96d agoexcluded
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL Dplus KIA @ 99.9¢ $25.4k0% 97d agoexcluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 66¢ $12.3k66% 99d agomissed
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group DLOW SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢ $59.1k
2.5× usual
0% 100d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceMED BUY Argentina @ 88¢ $37.2k88% 104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY England @ 65¢ $12.6k65% 104d agoexcluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerLOW SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% 105d agoexcluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢ $57.0k
2.4× usual
0% 105d agoexcluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerMED BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 84¢ $29.4k84% 105d agoexcluded
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ $34.2k0% 106d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 86¢ $12.3k86% 108d agocalled
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerLOW SELL T1 @ 99.9¢ $18.3k0% 112d agoexcluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerLOW BUY T1 @ 96¢ $17.5k96% 112d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Spurs @ 86¢ $12.0k86% 135d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 67¢ $12.7k67% 137d agoexcluded

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