Friday, July 17, 2026

72 whale trades totalling $3.85M from 57 wallets. Biggest: $283.0k sell Yes on “Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” at 40¢. 4 of 8 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 4.0 expected (-0.2 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL Yes @ 40¢	$283.0k 6.8× usual	60%	Sunguyen86 NEW	98d ago	called	Trade this
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 41¢	$222.0k	41%	PlayBlind-com	99d ago	missed	Trade this
France vs. England: Team to Win	MED BUY France @ 66¢	$208.5k 6.3× usual	66%	AV23IUa PROVEN	98d ago	missed	Trade this
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY Spain @ 60¢	$190.0k 3.8× usual	60%	Hugewinner	99d ago	called	Trade this
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL Yes @ 41¢	$188.9k 4.6× usual	59%	Sunguyen86 NEW	99d ago	called	Trade this
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	MED BUY Yes @ 51¢	$170.7k	51%	0x4924…3782	98d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 59¢	$157.2k 6.9× usual	59%	mooseborzoi LOSING	99d ago	called	Trade this
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 95.5¢	$126.3k 2.5× usual	5%	JAHODA	99d ago	missed	Trade this
France vs. England: Team to Win	MED BUY France @ 65¢	$121.7k 2.8× usual	65%	0x97b7…a014	99d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.7¢	$113.6k 5.0× usual	0%	0x8b4b…541b PROVEN	99d ago	excluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 59¢	$101.8k 4.5× usual	59%	mooseborzoi LOSING	98d ago	called	Trade this
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢	$101.1k	98%	0x4b0e…0677	98d ago	excluded
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED SELL No @ 98.4¢	$101.1k	2%	0x4b0e…0677	98d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 41¢	$94.5k 3.8× usual	41%	neutralwave23 PROVEN	99d ago	missed	Trade this
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	MED BUY T1 @ 87¢	$92.0k 2.2× usual	87%	0x2c33…0563	99d ago	excluded

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 40¢$283.0k

HIGH New wallet Sunguyen86 · 98d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 41¢$222.0k

MED PlayBlind-com · 99d ago

Trade this

France vs. England: Team to Winmissed

BUY France @ 66¢$208.5k

MED PROVEN AV23IUa · 98d ago

Trade this

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancecalled

BUY Spain @ 60¢$190.0k

MED Hugewinner · 99d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 41¢$188.9k

HIGH New wallet Sunguyen86 · 99d ago

Trade this

Will France win on 2026-07-18?missed

BUY Yes @ 51¢$170.7k

MED 0x4924…3782 · 98d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY Yes @ 59¢$157.2k

MED LOSING mooseborzoi · 99d ago

Trade this

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 95.5¢$126.3k

MED JAHODA · 99d ago

Trade this

France vs. England: Team to Winmissed

BUY France @ 65¢$121.7k

MED 0x97b7…a014 · 99d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$113.6k

MED PROVEN 0x8b4b…541b · 99d ago

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY Yes @ 59¢$101.8k

MED LOSING mooseborzoi · 98d ago

Trade this

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 98.4¢$101.1k

LOW 0x4b0e…0677 · 98d ago

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.4¢$101.1k

MED 0x4b0e…0677 · 98d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 41¢$94.5k

MED PROVEN neutralwave23 · 99d ago

Trade this

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsexcluded

BUY T1 @ 87¢$92.0k

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 99d ago

Most traded markets

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$990.7k · 12 flags

France vs. England: Team to Win

$497.3k · 7 flags

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$483.9k · 11 flags

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

$365.4k · 12 flags

Will France win on 2026-07-18?

$316.7k · 4 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

$247.6k · 5 flags