0x97b7…a014

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -66.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-66.3 pts

Called / graded

0/3

Expected from price

2.0

Flagged volume

$417.7k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$317.1k

Last 30 days +$0 · $946.4k volume · 141 trades · since Jan 28, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$6,611

Open P&L · 4 positions

−$305.4k

Closed-position win rate

58%

12 closed

Wallet age · markets

269d

15 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	3	0	2.0	-66.3 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
France vs. England: Team to Win	LOW BUY France @ 67¢	$98.0k 2.3× usual	67%	98d ago	missed
France vs. England: Team to Win	LOW BUY France @ 67¢	$60.3k	67%	98d ago	missed
France vs. England: Team to Win	MED BUY France @ 65¢	$121.7k 2.8× usual	65%	98d ago	missed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW SELL No @ 86¢	$20.7k	14%	264d ago	called
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 89¢	$58.2k	11%	264d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$28.7k	0%	265d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY No @ 83¢	$20.0k	83%	267d ago	missed
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 79¢	$10.0k	79%	267d ago	called

France vs. England: Team to Winmissed

BUY France @ 67¢$98.0k

LOW 0x97b7…a014 · 98d ago

France vs. England: Team to Winmissed

BUY France @ 67¢$60.3k

LOW 0x97b7…a014 · 98d ago

France vs. England: Team to Winmissed

BUY France @ 65¢$121.7k

MED 0x97b7…a014 · 98d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?called

SELL No @ 86¢$20.7k

LOW 0x97b7…a014 · 264d ago

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 89¢$58.2k

MED 0x97b7…a014 · 264d ago

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$28.7k

LOW 0x97b7…a014 · 265d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?missed

BUY No @ 83¢$20.0k

LOW 0x97b7…a014 · 267d ago

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?called

BUY No @ 79¢$10.0k

LOW 0x97b7…a014 · 267d ago

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